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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-225/+170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -225.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Los Angeles Rams may take to the air less in this game (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Jimmy Garoppolo.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 132.8 total plays called: the highest number on the slate this week.

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

The Minnesota Vikings defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year.

This week, Kyren Williams is predicted by the model to land in the 76th percentile among RBs with 3.1 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyren Williams's 11.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 17.5.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the worst in the NFL this year.

This year, the fierce Vikings defense has allowed a meager 80.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 10th-best rate in the NFL.

The Minnesota Vikings linebackers grade out as the 10th-best LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

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