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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.

Kyren Williams's 89.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a noteworthy boost in his pass-catching ability over last season's 68.1% figure.

This year, the weak Cardinals pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 91.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 3rd-largest rate in the NFL.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Arizona's unit has been lousy this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Rams being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have just 127.7 offensive plays run: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Cardinals, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.0 per game) this year.

Kyren Williams's 10.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 17.5.

The Rams offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

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