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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -180 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to pass on 60.6% of their downs: the 9th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

Kyren Williams's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 68.1% to 87.6%.

This year, the feeble 49ers pass defense has given up a colossal 89.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 5th-worst rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.

Kyren Williams's 10.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 17.5.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year.

The 49ers linebackers project as the best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

More Kyren Williams Player Props

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