Kyren Williams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Kyren Williams

NFL · Player Props

Kyren Williams

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 9th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 59.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Rams have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 64.4 plays per game.
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may slide.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: 9th-most in football.
Kyren Williams has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this season (74.0% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (29.0%).

Favors Under

This game's line indicates a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The leading projections forecast the Rams to call the 3rd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.
Kyren Williams's 56.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this season marks a a significant regression in his receiving prowess over last season's 79.9% figure.

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