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Kyren Williams
NFL · Player Props
Kyren Williams
RB · Los Angeles Rams
Receptions
Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 12, 2023 Updated Nov 27, 2023 3:26 AM UTC
NFL Props Kyren Williams Receptions

Kyren Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +128 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +118.

Favors Over
  • The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
  • Kyren Williams has run more routes this year (73.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (29.0%).
  • In this week's game, Kyren Williams is projected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 77th percentile among running backs with 3.4 targets.
  • Kyren Williams's pass-catching performance been refined this season, totaling 2.2 adjusted catches compared to a mere 1.1 last season.
  • This year, the feeble Cardinals pass defense has been torched for a whopping 85.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 9th-worst rate in the league.
Favors Under
  • The model projects the Rams to run the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to pass too much against the Cardinals, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.3 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Rams profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year.
  • Kyren Williams's 57.3% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a material decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 79.9% rate.
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