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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -142.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Los Angeles Rams may take to the air less in this game (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Jimmy Garoppolo.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 132.8 total plays called: the highest number on the slate this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
  • The Minnesota Vikings defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year.
  • This week, Kyren Williams is predicted by the model to land in the 76th percentile among RBs with 3.1 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When it comes to air yards, Kyren Williams grades out in the lowly 17th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -2.0 per game.
  • Kyren Williams's 11.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 17.5.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the worst in the NFL this year.
  • Kyren Williams has put up quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (12.0) this season than he did last season (19.0).
  • With a poor 4.9 adjusted yards per target (16th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams rates among the weakest RBs in the pass game in football.

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