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Kyren Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-125/-105).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Rams are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.Kyren Williams has run a route on 42.0% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.The projections expect Kyren Williams to earn 4.1 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.Kyren Williams has totaled a monstrous 4.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 93rd percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The projections expect the Rams to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 61.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions this week.The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.Kyren Williams's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 79.9% to 54.5%.The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (76.7%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (76.7%).
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