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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Los Angeles Rams vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Kyren Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced run volume.
  • Kyren Williams has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this season (72.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (29.0%).
  • This week, Kyren Williams is projected by the predictive model to land in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.1 targets.
  • As it relates to air yards, Kyren Williams grades out in the lofty 79th percentile among running backs this year, totaling a superb 1.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more impressive than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Browns, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 26.8 per game) this year.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Kyren Williams's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 80.0% to 65.9%.
  • The Cleveland Browns defense has yielded the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 24.0) to RBs this year.

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