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Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams

Kyren Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+100/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Los Angeles's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and rushing stats deflated) in light of playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to count on some regression with windier weather in this week's contest.

This week, Kyren Williams is projected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 84th percentile among running backs with 15.9 rush attempts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Rams are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to run on 38.3% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The projections expect the Rams to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

While Kyren Williams has accounted for 77.0% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played since the start of last season, our trusted projections expect him to be a less important option in Los Angeles's run game in this week's contest at 66.7%.

When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Philadelphia's collection of DTs has been tremendous since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

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