Kyren Williams Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Kyren Williams

NFL · Player Props

Kyren Williams

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Carries

Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Kyren Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing offenses have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the league (adjusted for context) against the Los Angeles Rams defense this year, averaging 26.60 seconds per snap.
The predictive model expects Kyren Williams to accrue 15.2 carries in this game, on average, ranking in the 85th percentile among RBs.
After accounting for 14.1% of his team's carries last year, Kyren Williams has played a bigger part in the running game this year, currently taking on 62.1%.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams as the 4th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 36.4% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may go down.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Philadelphia's group of DTs has been fantastic this year, profiling as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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