Kyren Williams Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Kyren Williams

NFL · Player Props

Kyren Williams

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Carries

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:32 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyren Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 10th-quickest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Rams.
The model projects Kyren Williams to earn 18.8 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Kyren Williams has been much more involved in his team's ground game this season (69.5% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (14.1%).
The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 32nd-worst unit in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

This week's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Rams, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Rams to run on 40.0% of their downs: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

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