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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

Arizona Cardinals vs Chicago Bears

Kyler Murray TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+154/-205).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +175 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +154.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.33 seconds per snap.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

The Arizona Cardinals O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 53.4% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Right now, the 5th-least pass-focused team in football near the end zone (51.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Cardinals.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may slide.

In this contest, Kyler Murray is expected by the projections to average the 8th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.6.

This year, the tough Chicago Bears defense has conceded a mere 68.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 8th-smallest rate in football.

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