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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray TD Passes
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs Arizona Cardinals

Kyler Murray TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line suggests a throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are -5-point underdogs.

The projections expect this game to have the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

Kyler Murray's passing precision has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 65.3% to 68.3%.

With a fantastic rate of 1.40 per game (75th percentile), Kyler Murray places among the best touchdown throwers in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 54.8% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

At the moment, the 6th-least pass-focused offense in football in the red zone (52.3% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Cardinals.

The 7th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Arizona Cardinals this year (only 54.0 per game on average).

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