My Account Log Out

reorder

Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray TD Passes
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Kyler Murray TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals are a massive 9.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

Kyler Murray's 69.6% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a remarkable improvement in his throwing accuracy over last year's 65.3% figure.

With an impressive rate of 1.50 per game (84th percentile), Kyler Murray stands as one of the leading TD throwers in football this year.

This year, the poor 49ers defense has surrendered a whopping 1.50 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing offenses: the 8th-largest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (48.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Arizona Cardinals.

The predictive model expects the Cardinals to call the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have called the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.5 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the San Francisco 49ers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.

The 49ers linebackers rank as the 7th-best LB corps in football this year in defending receivers.

More Kyler Murray Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™