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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

Kyler Murray TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Los Angeles Rams defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the league (35.7 per game) since the start of last season.

The Rams defense has conceded the 10th-most passing TDs in the NFL: 1.39 per game since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 10th-least pass-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 59.6% pass rate.

The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 29.31 seconds per play.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-lowest level in football versus the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season (63.8% Adjusted Completion%).

The Los Angeles Rams safeties rank as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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