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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

Kyler Murray TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 10th-most in football.

Kyler Murray's throwing accuracy has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 65.3% to 68.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Cardinals being a 3-point favorite in this game.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 55.8% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Right now, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (53.1% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Cardinals.

As far as a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.42 seconds per snap, the leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals as the slowest in football (adjusted for context) right now.

The predictive model expects Kyler Murray to throw 33.9 passes this week, on average: the 9th-fewest out of all QBs.

More Kyler Murray Player Props

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