My Account Log Out

reorder

Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs Arizona Cardinals

Kyler Murray TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+239/-333).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -238 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -333.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are big -12.5-point underdogs.

In racking up a staggering 35.0 pass attempts per game this year, Kyler Murray ranks among the top QBs in football (79th percentile) by this measure.

The Eagles defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (40.8 per game) this year.

This year, the poor Philadelphia Eagles defense has conceded a staggering 2.07 TDs through the air per game to opposing QBs: the 2nd-worst rate in the league.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Philadelphia's group of CBs has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the league (58.1% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Cardinals.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are expected by the projections to run only 63.6 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Arizona offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-lowest level in football against the Eagles defense this year (68.3% Adjusted Completion%).

More Kyler Murray Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™