Kyler Murray TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

TD Passes

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Kyler Murray TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-113/-113).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 66.0 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Kyler Murray has attempted 42.6 passes per game this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile among quarterbacks.
The Seattle Seahawks linebackers project as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 55.4% red zone pass rate.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-least in the league.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
Kyler Murray's throwing precision has declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.0% to 64.7%.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has given their quarterback a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

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