Kyler Murray TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

TD Passes

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyler Murray TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 25.47 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to attempt 37.8 passes in this game, on average: the 9th-most of all QBs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 10th-least pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 56.1% red zone pass rate.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on a mere 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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