My Account Log Out
 
 
Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Kyler Murray TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+114/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -152.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 64.1 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to attempt 38.4 passes in this contest, on average: the 7th-most of all quarterbacks.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers defense has conceded the 7th-most passing TDs in the NFL: 1.60 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 55.3% red zone pass rate.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 8th-least in football.
  • Kyler Murray's throwing precision has worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 68.0% to 64.3%.
  • The Arizona Cardinals O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on a mere 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™