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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Kyler Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 6th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 43.2% run rate.
  • The projections expect Kyler Murray to notch 5.4 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-most among all QBs.
  • Taking on 15.9% of his team's carries this year (78th percentile among quarterbacks), Kyler Murray's mobility marks him as a serious weapon in Arizona's rushing attack.
  • Kyler Murray has run for a lot more yards per game (38.0) this year than he did last year (31.0).
  • Kyler Murray's ground efficiency has gotten a boost this season, totaling 10.01 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 6.11 mark last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cardinals are a massive 9.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Cardinals to call the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have called the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.5 plays per game.
  • The opposing side have run for the 8th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 97.0 per game) vs. the 49ers defense this year.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, San Francisco's collection of DEs has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 8th-best in football.

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