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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions

Kyler Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 10th-most run-focused team in the NFL (41.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Cardinals.

The leading projections forecast Kyler Murray to notch 4.8 carries this week, on balance: the 9th-most among all quarterbacks.

With a remarkable rate of 35.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (92nd percentile), Kyler Murray ranks among the top rushing QBs in football since the start of last season.

Kyler Murray's running efficiency has been refined this season, accumulating 11.85 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 6.11 figure last season.

With an excellent record of 4.35 yards-after-contact (91st percentile), Kyler Murray stands as one of the top rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Cardinals, who are -4-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are predicted by the projections to call only 61.9 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Since the start of last season, the formidable Detroit Lions run defense has yielded a puny 87.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 2nd-fewest in football.

The Lions safeties project as the 2nd-best unit in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

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