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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Kyler Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 5th-most run-focused team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 42.5% run rate.
  • The model projects Kyler Murray to accumulate 5.5 rush attempts this week, on balance: the 7th-most out of all QBs.
  • Making up 18.2% of his team's rush attempts this year (89th percentile when it comes to QBs), Kyler Murray's mobility makes him a major threat in Arizona's rushing attack.
  • Kyler Murray's ground effectiveness (6.25 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (93rd percentile when it comes to QBs).
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 3rd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (139 per game) versus the Seahawks defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cardinals are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see only 125.3 offensive plays run: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Arizona Cardinals offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in football last year at blocking for rushers.
  • Kyler Murray has rushed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (31.0) this year than he did last year (37.0).

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