Kyler Murray Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 5:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyler Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 1.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to run on 43.6% of their chances: the 8th-highest rate on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.17 seconds per play.
The predictive model expects Kyler Murray to garner 5.7 carries in this week's game, on average: the 2nd-most among all QBs.
Taking on 20.3% of his team's run game usage this year (90th percentile among quarterbacks), Kyler Murray's mobility marks him as a dangerous threat in Arizona's rushing attack.

Favors Under

The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Cardinals offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league last year at opening holes for rushers.
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers profile as the 9th-best group of LBs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

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