Kyler Murray Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyler Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
At the moment, the 6th-most run-heavy team in the league (42.6% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Arizona Cardinals.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.3 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Kyler Murray to accumulate 5.5 rush attempts in this contest, on balance: the 5th-most out of all quarterbacks.
Taking on 22.3% of his team's carries last year (90th percentile among quarterbacks), Kyler Murray's mobility makes him a dangerous weapon with his legs.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Cardinals offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL last year in run-blocking.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Atlanta's collection of DTs has been outstanding this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

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