Kyler Murray Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Kyler Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-120/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 66.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to notch 6.2 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 6th-most of all quarterbacks.
THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to be a more integral piece of his team's rushing attack this week (22.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (15.8% in games he has played).
Kyler Murray has run for many more yards per game (35.0) this year than he did last year (28.0).

Favors Under

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.
The Seattle Seahawks defensive tackles rank as the 9th-best DT corps in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals have used some form of misdirection on a measly 34.3% of their plays since the start of last season (least in football), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.

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