Kyler Murray Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 11:30 PM EST

Analysis

Kyler Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 7th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.25 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to total 5.2 rush attempts in this contest, on average: the 9th-most of all quarterbacks.
THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to be a more integral piece of his team's running game this week (21.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (14.7% in games he has played).
Kyler Murray has picked up 28.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in the league among QBs (87th percentile).
Kyler Murray's rushing efficiency has improved this season, totaling 6.55 yards-per-carry vs a measly 5.31 rate last season.

Favors Under

The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 6th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 37.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
The Los Angeles Rams defense owns the 4th-best efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, giving up just 4.01 yards-per-carry.

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