Kyler Murray Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 19, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Kyler Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 25.47 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to notch 5.4 rush attempts this week, on average: the 10th-most of all QBs.
THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to be a more integral piece of his team's running game this week (22.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (15.3% in games he has played).
Kyler Murray has picked up 28.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in the league among QBs (86th percentile).
The Las Vegas Raiders defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-worst collection of DTs in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The Cardinals are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 10th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 37.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season in run blocking.
Kyler Murray has been among the bottom quarterbacks in football at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 1.08 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 9th percentile.

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