Kyler Murray Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 13, 2022 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Kyler Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 63.2 plays per game.
Kyler Murray has averaged 6.0 rush attempts per game this year, one of the largest rates in the NFL among quarterbacks (86th percentile).
THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to be much more involved in his offense's running game this week (23.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (16.0% in games he has played).
Kyler Murray has run for many more yards per game (39.0) this season than he did last season (28.0).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 36.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year at blocking for rushers.
The New England Patriots defense owns the 5th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, yielding just 4.21 yards-per-carry.
The New England Patriots safeties rank as the 5th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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