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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 2

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals

Kyler Murray Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+224/-352).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +257 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +224.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 10th-most run-centric team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 43.9% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 25.47 seconds per snap.

Kyler Murray isn't afraid to call his own number near the end zone, accounting for 23.7% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s red zone carries since the start of last season (86th percentile among QBs).

Kyler Murray has rushed for 0.19 touchdowns per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the highest figures in football among quarterbacks (83rd percentile).

Opposing teams have run for the 10th-most touchdowns in football (1.00 per game) versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cardinals are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.

The Arizona Cardinals offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season in run blocking.

The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box against opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Arizona Cardinals have utilized some form of misdirection on a mere 34.3% of their play-calls since the start of last season (least in the league), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.

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