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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Buffalo Bills vs Arizona Cardinals

Kyler Murray Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 222.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 229.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 222.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Cardinals being a huge -7-point underdog this week.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-highest level in football against the Buffalo Bills defense last year (74.1% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Cardinals as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Cardinals to run the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Cardinals have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense performance when facing windier weather in this week's contest.

Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) typically cause worse passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased run volume.

The projections expect Kyler Murray to throw 32.3 passes this week, on balance: the 7th-fewest out of all QBs.

More Kyler Murray Player Props

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