Kyler Murray Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Passing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyler Murray Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 246.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 249.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 246.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 66.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to attempt 39.2 passes in this game, on average: the 5th-most of all QBs.

Favors Under

Kyler Murray's passing accuracy has worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.0% to 63.8%.
Kyler Murray's pass-game efficiency has tailed off this year, averaging just 6.10 yards-per-target vs a 7.61 rate last year.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line has afforded their quarterback a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game stats across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals have been faced with a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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