Kyler Murray Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Passing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyler Murray Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 245.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 252.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 245.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 64.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 70.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

Kyler Murray's passing precision has tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 68.0% to 63.9%.
Kyler Murray's passing efficiency has diminished this season, notching a mere 6.02 yards-per-target vs a 7.61 figure last season.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the lowest rate in the league versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year (60.9%).
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, allowing 6.18 yards-per-target: the 5th-least in the league.
The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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