Kyler Murray Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Passing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 13, 2022 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Kyler Murray Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 238.5 (+109/-142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 237.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 238.5 @ +109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.2% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 63.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense this year: 9th-most in football.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to attempt 39.0 passes in this game, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.
Kyler Murray's throwing accuracy has tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 67.1% to 64.0%.
Kyler Murray's pass-game effectiveness has declined this year, accumulating a mere 6.04 yards-per-target vs a 7.36 mark last year.
Opposing QBs have thrown for the 10th-least yards in the league (just 216.0 per game) against the New England Patriots defense this year.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest level in the league vs. the New England Patriots defense this year (65.9%).

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