Kyler Murray Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Pass Attempts

Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyler Murray Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-108/-121).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.3 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Kyler Murray has attempted 37.5 passes per game last year, checking in at the 86th percentile among quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The Cardinals boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 57.4% pass rate.

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