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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Interceptions
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Kyler Murray Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Cardinals being a -5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals ranks as the 10th-best in the league this year.
  • The Dolphins safeties profile as the 5th-worst collection of safeties in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 7th-least pass-focused team in the league (58.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Arizona Cardinals.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Cardinals this year (a lowly 53.0 per game on average).
  • The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 27.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: fewest in the league.

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