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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Interceptions
Player Prop Week 1

Buffalo Bills vs Arizona Cardinals

Kyler Murray Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Cardinals being a huge -7-point underdog this week.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Cardinals as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Cardinals to run the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Cardinals have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense performance when facing windier weather in this week's contest.

Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) typically cause worse passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased run volume.

The projections expect Kyler Murray to throw 32.3 passes this week, on balance: the 7th-fewest out of all QBs.

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