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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Completions
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Kyler Murray Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -101 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may suffer.
  • Kyler Murray's 69.4% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a meaningful gain in his throwing accuracy over last year's 65.3% rate.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year (76.5% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Cardinals as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the Cardinals to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 53.5 plays per game.
  • In this contest, Kyler Murray is projected by the projection model to have the 3rd-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 31.8.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers cornerbacks profile as the 6th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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