Kyler Murray Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Completions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Kyler Murray Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.17 seconds per play.

Favors Under

The Cardinals boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 1.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The model projects the Cardinals as the 8th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 56.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
This week, Kyler Murray is anticipated by the projection model to have the 9th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 33.7.
The Cardinals O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Kyler Murray's throwing precision has tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 64.5% to 59.5%.

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