Kyler Murray Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Completions

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Kyler Murray Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 66.0 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Kyler Murray has attempted 42.6 passes per game this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile among quarterbacks.
The Seattle Seahawks linebackers project as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

Opposing teams have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-least in the league.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
Kyler Murray's throwing precision has declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 68.0% to 64.7%.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has given their quarterback a mere 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on a measly 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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