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Kyler Murray

Kyler Murray Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Buffalo Bills vs Arizona Cardinals

Kyler Murray Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-108/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 3rd-most run-centric offense in the league (43.0% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Cardinals.

The Cardinals have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense performance when facing windier weather in this week's contest.

Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) typically cause worse passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and increased run volume.

The leading projections forecast Kyler Murray to accumulate 6.0 carries in this week's game, on average: the 10th-most out of all quarterbacks.

Taking on 17.4% of his team's rushing play calls last year (89th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Kyler Murray's mobility marks him as a significant weapon in the run game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Cardinals being a huge -7-point underdog this week.

The model projects the Cardinals to run the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

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