Kyler Murray Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Kyler Murray

NFL · Player Props

Kyler Murray

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Carries

Arizona Cardinals vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Kyler Murray Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-114/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 128.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 65.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to notch 6.1 rush attempts this week, on average: the 5th-most of all QBs.
THE BLITZ projects Kyler Murray to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this week (25.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (14.7% in games he has played).
The Kansas City Chiefs safeties profile as the 32nd-worst safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Cardinals are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 10th-least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 37.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season in run blocking.

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