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Kylen Granson

Kylen Granson Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Kylen Granson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to see 129.4 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 62.0 plays per game.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
  • The model projects Kylen Granson to accumulate 4.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile among TEs.
  • Kylen Granson's 31.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 19.4.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Shane Steichen, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 3.0% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 56.4% pass rate.
  • Kylen Granson's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 77.7% to 59.6%.

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