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Kylen Granson

Kylen Granson Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Kylen Granson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
  • Kylen Granson has been a much bigger part of his offense's pass game this year (9.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (3.1%).
  • The Indianapolis Colts offensive line has allowed their QB 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • The Tennessee Titans defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-slowest in football since the start of last season.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have incorporated play action on 33.6% of their passing plays since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts are a 4-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 10th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Colts to call the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Kylen Granson's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 74.2% to 70.0%.
  • The Tennessee Titans pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (65.7%) to TEs since the start of last season (65.7%).

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