Kylen Granson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-120).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are anticipated by the projections to call 66.7 total plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week.
The 8th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Colts this year (a colossal 61.9 per game on average).
The Indianapolis offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
This year, the feeble Panthers pass defense has been torched for a whopping 79.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 5th-worst rate in football.
Favors Under
The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts offensive strategy to skew 1.0% more towards running than it did last year (context-neutralized) with head coach Shane Steichen now calling the plays.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Colts to pass on 55.3% of their downs: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Panthers, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.6 per game) this year.
The Panthers defense has conceded the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 37.0) vs. TEs this year.
The Panthers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the league this year when it comes to pass rush.