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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Atlanta Falcons vs Dallas Cowboys

Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 138.0 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The leading projections forecast Kyle Pitts to notch 6.3 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Kyle Pitts rates as one of the best tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging a remarkable 3.4 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 80th percentile.

Kyle Pitts's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 60.1% to 66.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a running game script.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.

Kyle Pitts's 37.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 44.8.

More Kyle Pitts Player Props

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