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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -172 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -175.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 51.1% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Falcons are projected by our trusted projection set to run just 63.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Washington Commanders, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.5 per game) this year.
  • Kyle Pitts's 32.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 44.8.

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