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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers

Kyle Pitts Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons as the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.18 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The leading projections forecast Kyle Pitts to accumulate 5.3 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among TEs.

Kyle Pitts's 66.3% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys an impressive growth in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 60.1% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kyle Pitts's 33.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 44.8.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Falcons grades out as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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