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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Atlanta Falcons vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 138.0 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The leading projections forecast Kyle Pitts to notch 6.3 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • Kyle Pitts checks in as one of the top pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a stellar 41.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.
  • Kyle Pitts's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 60.1% to 66.3%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a running game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.
  • After accruing 62.0 air yards per game last year, Kyle Pitts has posted significant losses this year, now pacing 44.0 per game.
  • Kyle Pitts's 37.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 44.8.

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