My Account Log Out

reorder

Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Las Vegas Raiders vs Atlanta Falcons

Kyle Pitts Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Atlanta Falcons have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 58.8 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

The model projects Kyle Pitts to garner 4.7 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Kyle Pitts's talent in picking up extra yardage have gotten a boost this season, totaling 5.53 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 2.53 mark last season.

This year, the deficient Raiders defense has surrendered the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a massive 9.01 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Falcons being a 6-point favorite in this game.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 55.1% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Falcons to call the 10th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

After accruing 62.0 air yards per game last season, Kyle Pitts has undergone a big decline this season, now averaging 40.0 per game.

Kyle Pitts's 32.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 44.8.

More Kyle Pitts Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™